High Risk, Few Exit Paths
Mobility research finds that displacement pressure only becomes hardship when workers lack credible adjacent moves (del Rio-Chanona et al. 2021; IMF 2024). Of 426 occupations above the displacement threshold, these 107 have the weakest exit options: their best exposure-reducing transition falls in the bottom quarter of exit scores within the high-risk cohort (≤65% match). For high-exposure occupations with strong escape routes, see Best Transitions.
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No exposure-reducing transition paths found.
No exposure-reducing transition paths found.
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Frequently asked questions
Why do exit paths matter alongside an AI Exposure Rank?
Occupations with similar AI Exposure Ranks can have different outcomes because demand, transferable skills, training access and viable destination jobs differ. The transition layer is contextual, not a probability of successful reallocation.
What counts as "few exits"?
An occupation lands here when its single best exposure-reducing transition falls in the weakest quarter of exit scores among all high-exposure occupations. Lateral or higher-risk moves never count as exits, however similar the work. The transition score combines archetype similarity, skill overlap, wage preservation, demand strength, and risk improvement.